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Investing In Difficult Markets |
If the markets are good at one thing, it's reminding investors that they don't go up uninterrupted forever. We are always quick to remind ourselves that neither panic nor greed are investment strategies. Your only real insurance against the unpredictable is having and sticking with a long-term strategic asset allocation plan.
In reality, investors should rarely, if ever, react to short-term moves in the market. As intriguing as it may seem to try to catch every market wiggle in order to reap big profits, the "tactical" (or shorter-term) approach to investing has its limitations and its risks.
We believe it's the "strategic" asset allocation decision and the ability to stick with it that will ultimately reap the greatest rewards. These decisions are not a function of short-term market gyrations or forecasts, but are tied to your risk tolerance and long-term goals. Developing and maintaining the right long-term asset mix is by far the most important set of decisions an investor will ever make.
Asset allocation and diversification are an investors' "free lunch" There are very few free lunches in investing. Asset allocation and diversification are as close as you get.
Never before has information about the global economy and markets been more readily available and disseminated. As a result, global markets have become very interconnected. In turn, our reaction mechanisms have kicked in, and investor time horizons have shortened dramatically, but not necessarily to our advantage. Yes, the long term is really just a series of short-term events, but it's how we react to them that decides our ultimate fate as investors.
Longer Time Horizon = Lower Downside Risk. The longer you extend your time horizon, the less likely you'll experience a loss over that holding period.
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